Season 32 Trade Deadline

Awhile back, I worked with cubcub113 to develop a playoff prediction model...that didn't quite work out the way I envisioned it but something else did result that's been fun to look at from time to time. That "something else" is a method of grouping all 32 franchises in a Hardball world into one of three classifications that are often referred to around the trade deadline (and at other various points in the season), those being: buyers, holders and sellers.

While I will save you the long-winded version of this calculation, because that's truly what this boils down to, the CliffNotes version is as follows:

  • Buyers are teams projected to win 92+ games in the season of interest 
  • Holders are teams projected to win 81-91 games in the season of interest
  • Sellers are teams that project to win 80 or fewer games in the season of interest

For our current season here in Steinbrenner, these are the categorizations as we approach 7 real life days to go before the Trade Deadline: 

Buyers


New York
Cleveland
Helena
Tucson
Detroit
Santa Cruz
Pittsburgh
Hartford
Trenton
 
Holders
Washington DC
Philadelphia
Anaheim
Atlanta
Tampa Bay
Tacoma
Sellers
San Jose
Jacksonville
Wichita
Kansas City
St. Louis
Boise
Little Rock
Syracuse
Rochester
Charlotte
Honolulu
Pawtucket
Richmond
Louisville
Nashville
Durham
Cincinnati

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

WSTN: An official introduction

I know I've mentioned it in at least one other post, but awhile back I started a forum thread that I named "WSTN." Below you will find the transcript of the first post...I haven't been great about updating it for the trivia stuff, but have been fairly good at posting other stuff that everyone might find interesting. I am going to try to be better about posting the trivia info there, but if anyone has any other ideas or things they might want to contribute, let me know. For now, though, enjoy the introduction to WSTN  (as well as the following posts!): "Recently, thewheaties took over from zeustis01 as commish of the Steinbrenner World and instituted a weekly trivia contest based on a mix of real-world sports contests (such as NCAA Football and MLB) and some questions about the goings on in Steinbrenner. We have been looking for a place to track picks/results etc. and it recently occurred to me that a rebranding of our world would be a good time to try again on
Read more

Season 33 Hall of Fame Voting

In most of my worlds, I run a blog segment that focuses on trying to figure out who should be elected to the Hall of Fame that season. Over time, I have figured out that there are two ways that have proven to be the most successful. The first is figuring out who previously got the most votes in that world and then checking the stats to see if the top 5 previous vote getters were indeed worthy (they usually are) and then pooling votes behind those guys. The second is to break down the list of candidates into tiers based on their statistical success and throw support behind the most deserving guys.  The tiers that I often use are the following: “I Should Have Been In Years Ago”, “I Will Get In Eventually”, “I Might Get In”, “Praying For A Miracle” and finally the “Field of Pipe Dreams.” When I first came up with these categories my ideal scenario was to apply career WAR totals to these tiers and analyze guys that way, but at that point I was in a world with 30+ seasons of history an
Read more